Thursday, November 20, 2025

ONG Report: Strong Refining Margins and Inventory Draws Signal Tight Market

Refining Margins Soar as Data Centers Strain the Grid

Tight Markets and Power Risks: Your 4 Key Takeaways This Week

Refining Margins Are Soaring on Tight Product Markets: Refining margins are surging this week as global markets for refined products continue to tighten. Strong demand for diesel and jet fuel is pushing profitability to some of the highest levels of the year, giving refiners a powerful financial incentive to maximize utilization rates.

EIA Reports a Bullish Surprise in Crude Inventories: The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a surprise dip in U.S. crude inventories, adding fresh upward pressure to the market. Analysts attribute this draw to a combination of stronger export flows and robust refinery runs as operators gear up for the holiday travel season.

Data Center Demand Increases Winter Blackout Risk: A concerning new report warns that the U.S. faces elevated risks of winter blackouts because power demand from data centers is accelerating faster than the grid can adapt. Grid planners warn that AI-driven electricity consumption is creating critical stress points, potentially outpacing infrastructure upgrades.

Refiners Are Running Hard to Meet Demand: The industry tidbit highlights the strength of the physical market: U.S. refiners processed nearly 17 million barrels per day this fall. This represents one of the strongest seasonal run rates in the past decade, underscoring that despite economic headwinds, actual fuel consumption remains incredibly resilient.

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